Quote:
Originally Posted by Trainguy
Not going to happen in near future. Flight is all about weight and the batteries are just too heavy to carry itself and passengers for any distance to make it pay. We will see I guess.
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I don't think that kind of development will take too much time. There's growing market pressure driving research.
Look at how many more lithium battery production capacity there is now than 5 years ago, and how much more is expected to come online. As soon as you have the pressure of money driving a field, developments tend to happen much faster.
If you want a good example, look at how much R&D was spent on computers before and after they became a consumer product. That has only grown as more was spent on them after they became a household product.
High capacity rechargeable batteries are going to go from the thing you only had in your cell phone and laptop, to the thing you have $15,000 of sitting in your car, and maybe another $15,000 of in your house to keep the lights on. They're going to be in every substation, factory, tractor, truck, car, motorcycle, train, and maybe plane. The more use cases pile on, the greater the development pace will be. That's how positive feedback works.
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