It'll probably happen in the mid-2050s or so, that's my guess. Not due to increasing demand so much as improving technology. I mean in 1915 the tallest building on earth was 241m, by 1935 it gone up to 381m. From 2000 to 2015 it went from 452m to 828m. What today is a major undertaking will be fairly common in the future.
Boom bust cycle certainly applies to building tall. You have a spurt and than nothing for decades. I'm sure the desire to build tall in developing Asian markets will subside as their economy matures.
In Toronto, technological advances will continue to allow major commercial tenants to cut down their leased space with fewer departments having assigned seating . Immigration will be in decline as foreign economies mature. Advancements in building design will also make these hulking extruded masses with 500 tiny, inefficient layouts very undesirable.
Immigration will only decline when we choose to limit numbers. 4 billion people are living in miserable conditions, and besides, many wealthy in the developing world seek to move to countries like Canada. Immigration actually could rise when economic circumstances improve in developing countries, as there will be a larger pool of qualified prospects.
if face to face contact matters less, then geography matters less, yet the cities are still teeming, and the gravitational pull of the cities at the top has increased, despite repeated predictions of the "death of the office" by endless witless journalists and a few academics.
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The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts. (Bertrand Russell)
Nobody knows what the future may hold, a couple of years ago few people here would have thought that by now Toronto would have three solid proposals for buildings over 300m.
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Public transit is the lifeblood of every healthy city.
Doesn't Fermont have a kilometre-long building?
Functions as a sort of wind-breaker, I understand.
Looks like a bleak place.
lapresse
Edit: it is 1.3 kms long. take that, burj
Quote:
The building measures 1.3 kilometres (4,300 ft) long and stands 50 metres (160 ft) high.[4]
wikipedia
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The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts. (Bertrand Russell)
The billions living in squalor have little chance of being accepted by Canada. And, it's more a matter of populations stabilizing in as developing countries economies take on those of the developed world.
No one is suggesting such an extreme as the death of the office. That's just stupid. You gotta be pretty oblivious to changes that are and will continue to radically alter the work environment for those with jobs that don't require them to be in any particular place at any given time. They are no longer tied to an assigned workstation. They are encouraged to be mobile and able to log in from anywhere.
Fermont, Quebec, was designed as the mining community of the future. Its 1.3 kilometre-long windscreen complex was built to shield residents from the bitter sub-arctic climate. Forty years later, contributor Simon Nakonechny heads north to find out what has become of this visionary town.
In the early 1970s, Fermont, Quebec was created to mine some of the richest iron deposits in the world. It was a new kind of town, one that would directly confront the twin dangers of cold and isolation. The mining company built the Mur-écran to shield Fermont from the fierce sub-arctic winds. It also brought all the town's services under one roof, with the hope of creating a close-knit community in the process.
Forty years later, what's become of Fermont and of the Windscreen? How does living in a planned town shape the community? And can nature really be brought to heel, or will we always be swept away by the vast wilderness?
Good lord. Was it designed to keep people in or out?
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-- “We heal each other with kindness, gentleness and respect.” -- Richard Wagamese
-- “Unless someone like you cares a whole awful lot, Nothing is going to get better. It's not.” -- Dr. Seuss
It was designed to keep out the others. and the wights.
__________________
The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts. (Bertrand Russell)
__________________
The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts. (Bertrand Russell)
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