Quote:
Originally Posted by jhausner
The only reason Mayor Robertson got elected is because of one of the lowest voter turn outs ever in Vancouver. If people actually would have gotten off their behinds and went in and voted, he wouldn't have become mayor.
Next year you can put money on him not being re-elected
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I have to disagree with that assessment. Remember that Vision Vancouver had thousands show up at the mayoral nomination, which was unprecedented in Vancouver civic politics. Gregor Robertson had that "Obama" effect and his candidacy was akin to a speeding freight train - everyone was jumping on board. The NPA was left in the dust with all of their public in-fighting.
His promise to end homelessness also captured the imagination of the electorate and his coattails resulted in huge VV majorities on all three civic boards.
Voter turnout was 32% in 2005 and 31% in 2008 and those are traditional voter turnouts at the civic level. I suspect that many traditional but disillusioned NPA voters stayed home in 2008, while the independent swing voter moved over to Gregor.
Even a recent StratCom poll showed that Gregor had a 70% approval rating in the CoV. Caveat - StratCom is a major financial contributor to VV.
That said, the shine seems to have come of VV of late yet I expect that Gregor will again win the mayoral crown in 2011 albeit the NPA will likely move from 1 councillor to 4 and also elect more members on both the school boards and parks boards.
2005 mayoral election result:
NPA - 61,543 (46.6%)
VV - 57,796 (43.8%)
2008 mayoral election result:
NPA - 48,794 (39.3%)
VV - 67,598 (54.4%)
Source: City of Vancouver