Originally Posted by haljackey
I like minority governments. It keeps the ruling party more honest. If they don't compromise with the other parties, it may fall.
From the Liberals standpoint, this deal with the NDP was a no-brainier. More money in the coffers from a tiny portion of the population.
And yes the PCs are a epic fail in this budget.
Still, if the government were to fall, would we see the end of Liberal rule? That party has been doing terrible... just look at the Alberta election yesterday. Most liberal supporters are switching to the NDP or PCs.
Probably not. The Alberta PC's were basically the Liberals, and the Wildrose party was basically the Conservatives. The Liberals were totally squeezed, I was surprised they held on to any seats and the NDP didn't do a bit better.
The NDP will gain for sure among centre-left voters, but will lose some support from their union and activist base.
As for the PC's, this will seriously hurt them in urban Ontario, although it should help them in rural and northern Ontario, where the McGuinty gang are despised. It creates a paradox:
* The rural swath from southwestern into mid-northern and over to eastern Ontario is where property rights are big, the environmental movement is hated and they want even more austerity. That is the same type of area that went Wildrose in Alberta.
* Northern Ontario is now no-man's land, with the Liberals and NDP flip-flopping on Ontario Northland and not seen as showing their interest. Chance for a regional party to grow? I doubt they want the austerity that the rural south wants though.
* Urban Ontario (Urban/inner-suburban GTA and the mid-sized cities) - about 55% of the population - wants more services and more inclusiveness for the most part, although not too much in terms of higher taxes. The PC's have a lot to gain here by going more moderate, but at the risk of losing the rural seats.
The PC's can only lose some to gain some either way...