Originally Posted by Bigtime
I wonder if they will charter a 757 again? Although I have to say that it hasn't been the best for them in terms of customer satisfaction, I wonder if they are working on something more solid for the upcoming season?
Johnny, what's your take on LAX going up (same with LAS)? Are they trying to grow their share of the market so they have a place for the extra 737's once the Q400's start showing up and take over routes like YYC-YEG/YXE?
The charter 757 is likely to be back in operation provided that WS can secure aircraft to do the job. The only thing more solid for WS would be to contract 2 757 and only increase schedule by 1/2 airplane equivalent. FTE example would going from 1 to 2 personel but the workload only increases to 1.5 FTE.
On LAX, WS has tried to go multiple times daily on YYC-LAX before, each time they see lower than expected returns and drop the service the following season. Over the past 6-7 years there have been 11 weekly during the summer season, winter season, shortened season, etc. Last years expirement was to SNA not LAX, that project also failed.
LAS on the other hand is very impressive they now have either 3 por 4 times daily.
On 737 fleet growth and WS regional, Between now and 2018 WS has the option of being anywhere from nuetral to huge expansion, All 737 deliveries are timed with lease expiries. For 2013 there were three aircraft leases due for renewal, but WS kept the aircraft for growth once the Thomas Cook charter contract was signed.
Future growth will be timed with the Q400 integration. However keep in mind the current 5-6x daily flights on YYC-YEG are only about .5 aircraft equivalent, so full removal of 737 from this route will not materially impact the fleet plan. I don;t think WS will remove 737s from YYC-YXE, rather there may be an off peak increase in flying to cycle the Q400s out of YXE (although this can be done on the YWG side of the equation).
Expect Q400s to replace 737s on YLW run, especially if WS regional goes into YYF (Penticton). When WS went into YKA, they canabalized their YYC-YLW operation by about 25%, expect the same to happen if YYF is go. ALso look for Q400s on YKA (all Q400 all the time to the Okanagan).